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cardrip

Card rip odds explained: one pack, read three ways

Apps publish odds as one average, as value bands or as a chance for every card. MNSTR prints all three for one $50 pack, so here it is in each. Switch the format and watch what goes missing.

By Alexander Korsager · Checked 7 October 2026 · We earn nothing from any app on this site

$25$50$75$100$125+Pack 1255075100100 packs in a row, cheapest card firstTop 6 in 100 run off the chart, up to $7,937Middle pack $38

Stated average $54.75 Pack price $50 Pack 50, the middle one

Average card
$54.75
Middle pack
$38
Under the $50 price
73 in 100

MNSTR Starter: its own values and chances for 626 cards, read 7 October 2026. Published figures, not measured results. The art is illustration.Pack pageNo commission

Three formats, and what each one hides

A fourth, named tiers with no dollar range, answers none of the money questions.

What each odds format lets you work out
Can you work outOne averageValue bandsEvery cardNamed tiers
The average cardStatedA floorAdd it upNo
The middle packNoA rangeExactNo
Packs under the priceNoOftenExactNo
One card's chanceNoNoStatedTier only

Bands give a floor: from MNSTR's five bands alone, the average is $42.49 or more. Every card answers the dollar questions only where a value sits beside each chance.

One average on a real page
“Average item value is $66.24.”

Read on the operator's own page

On the Pokémon PSA 10 pack page, $69.

Checked 6 Oct 2026.

Open the source
Courtyard
Value bands on a real page
“73.42% $30–$50”

Read on the operator's own page

“73.42% $30–$50”

Shown on each pack page without an account.

Checked 7 Oct 2026.

Open the source
MNSTR
Every card on a real page
“Grail Hit rate per card 0.02%”

Read on the operator's own page

“Grail Hit rate per card 0.02%”

A $50 soccer pack page showed its checklist and hit rates without a login.

Checked 6 Oct 2026.

Open the source
Arena Club
Named tiers on a real page
“Common 65%, Uncommon 31%, Rare 3%, Chase 1%”

Read on the operator's own page

“Odds Common 65% Uncommon 31% Rare 3% Chase 1%”

Checked 6 Oct 2026.

Open the source
rip.fun

Which format each rated app uses

Counted from each app's own pages. 11 of the 13 packs we hold a table for also state an average.

Value bands14 of 27Lastpack, Phygitals, Repackz, Tilt Rips, Courtyard, Packz, RipRip.io, Collector Crypt, Slabz, Underdog Rips, Fanatics Instant Rips, Beezie, GameStop Power Packs, Gemint
A chance for every card6 of 27Arena Club, MNSTR, BOXED.GG, DOPA, Packs.com, ripz.gg
Named tiers, no dollar range3 of 27Ripit, rip.fun, ClutchPacks
Not seen without an account4 of 27Rips by Triumph, Stadium Vault, Rip Rush, Crown Cards

The average is not the middle pack

MNSTR states $54.75 a card on this $50 pack. Its own table puts the middle pack at $38.

$49.15average card in the other 98: under the $50 price

MNSTR Starter, $50, read 7 October 2026. Our sum of its per-card table; the luckiest packs are the ones holding its dearest cards. The average first drops under the price with 2 packs in 100 left out. Cards up to $38 are 50.1% of packs on the rounded chances shown, so the middle pack could be the next card up, $38.96.

An average counts every pack, the rare dear ones included. The middle pack, the median, is the one half of all packs fall at or below. Added up, the table gives $54.60: its chances are rounded and total 100.10%.

Share of packsShare of the $54.60 average

  • Common$30 to $5073.4% of packs$26.73 of it
  • Uncommon$50 to $10017.9% of packs$12.23 of it
  • Rare$100 to $2006.6% of packs$9.02 of it
  • Epic$200 to $5001.9% of packs$5.16 of it
  • Legendary$500+0.2% of packs$1.45 of it

Cards worth $100 or more are 8.7% of packs and $15.64 of the average. To see a run of packs instead of one figure, use the pack simulator.

Hit rates: the list starts at the wrong end

A hit rate is the chance of one named card in one pack. Lists put the dearest cards first, where the chances are smallest.

Share of all packs on each of the list's 53 pages

of packs hold a card from page 1 of 530.04%
of 626 cards make up half of all packs60
packs on average for the dearest card, at the 0.0005% shown (a rounded figure)1 in 200,000$10,000,000 of packs at $50 each
The first and last rows of the per-card list
CardValueChance
2010 HeartGold & SoulSilver Undaunted Umbreon Prime, BGS 9.5$7,937.230.0005%
2000 Neo Genesis 1st Edition Lugia, BGS 5$3,142.820.0014%
2002 Neo Destiny 1st Edition Light Arcanine, PSA 9$3,0000.0014%
621 more cards
2023 Japanese Violet ex Iron Treads ex Special Art Rare, PSA 10$302.2%
1999 Pokemon Game Shadowless Farfetch'd, PSA 7$302.2%

Values are MNSTR's own. For how many packs one card takes, use the chase odds calculator; for a whole list, the pull checklist.

One EV label, three different tables

EV, expected value, is the average under another name. This pack page prints it once, over three risk settings.

Tilt Rips: One Piece Loot

$25
  • $12.50 to $25▼ pack price or less86.2%
  • $25 to $10012.5%
  • $100 to $3001.1%
  • $300+0.29%
Printed on the page
“100% EV”
Packs at $25 or less
86.2%
Lowest card value
$12.50
Packs at $300 or more
0.29%

The page prints one EV figure above the table. Whether it covers the two locked settings is not confirmed. Read 7 October 2026. Pack pageNo commission

Packs at the price or less run from 86.2% to 96.4% across the settings. An average cannot tell those tables apart, so read the bands under it.

The middle pack on every table we hold

Each pack on one scale: percent of its own price. Bands only give the middle pack as a range.

of 13 packs state an average above their price5
of 13 have the middle pack in a band that ends at or under the price10
of 13 have it in a band that starts at or above the price0

Band the middle pack is inStated averagePack price

  1. Slabz Poké 25$25
    Middle pack
    $13 to $30
    Stated average
    $27.61 (110%)
    Price or less
    Up to 75 in 100
  2. Beezie Silver$50
    Middle pack
    $25 to $50
    Stated average
    $55 (110%)
    Price or less
    74 in 100
  3. MNSTR Starter$50
    Middle pack
    $30 to $50
    Stated average
    $54.75 (110%)
    Price or less
    73 in 100
  4. Collector Crypt Elite Pokémon Gacha Pack$50
    Middle pack
    $30 to $60
    Stated average
    $54.60 (109%)
    Price or less
    Up to 80 in 100
  5. Phygitals Rookie Pack (Pokémon)$25
    Middle pack
    $13 to $25
    Stated average
    $26 (104%)
    Price or less
    80 in 100
  6. Tilt Rips Starter Pack$25
    Middle pack
    $12.50 to $25
    Stated average
    $25 (100%)
    Price or less
    61 in 100
  7. Courtyard Pokémon PSA 10$69
    Middle pack
    $48 to $60
    Stated average
    $66.24 (96%)
    Price or less
    77 in 100
  8. Lastpack Starter Pack (Steady)$5
    Middle pack
    $3.50 to $5
    Stated average
    $4.75 (95%)
    Price or less
    70 in 100
  9. RipRip.io All-Stars Pokémon Booster$10.99
    Middle pack
    $8.01 to $10
    Stated average
    $10 (91%)
    Price or less
    69 to 93 in 100
  10. Repackz Pokémon Starter Pack$25
    Middle pack
    $12 to $22
    Stated average
    $22.50 (90%)
    Price or less
    82 in 100
  11. Fanatics Instant Rips Pokemon Value$25
    Middle pack
    $13 to $19
    Stated average
    $22.04 (88%)
    Price or less
    55 to 85 in 100
  12. DOPA Tag-Team Titans!$18
    Middle pack (on a band edge)
    $0.10 to $36
    Stated average
    Not published
    Price or less
    50 in 100
  13. Packz Pokémon Starter Pack$25
    Middle pack
    $17.50 to $25
    Stated average
    Not published
    Price or less
    70 in 100

Operators' own bands and card values, read 7 October 2026. Where a band spans the price, the share under it is a range. What each average is worth after the sell-back is in the cash-back calculator.

An odds table is a dated read

The same MNSTR pack, read a day apart. The stated average did not move; the bands did.

Two reads of the MNSTR Starter odds, a day apart
Band7 Oct7 OctChange, points
$30 to $5073.42%73.42%None
$50 to $10017.83%17.83%None
$100 to $2006.55%6.55%None
$200 to $5002.00%2.00%None
$500+0.20%0.20%None
Cards listed630626−4
Stated average$54.75$54.75None
of 27 rated apps say in writing that odds change as cards are pulled13Arena Club, Lastpack, Repackz, Courtyard, RipRip.io, rip.fun, Rips by Triumph, Rip Rush, Underdog Rips, Fanatics Instant Rips, ClutchPacks, Beezie, GameStop Power Packs
the read behind every figure on the example pack7 October 2026MNSTR Starter pack pageNo commission

A table read yesterday may not be today's table. Dated changes to each app's odds and terms are logged in the odds and terms tracker.

From the headline to your balance

An average is card value at the app's own prices. Selling the card back takes the app's rate off it.

Stated average card$54.75
Sold back at 86%$47.09
Middle pack's card$38.00
Sold back at 86%$32.68

The $50 pack price

The 86% is the Starter pack's published rate, paid in a stablecoin. Rates, fees and payout routes for every app are on cashing out.

Five checks for any odds table

Each with the answer it gave on the MNSTR pack above.

  1. 1Name the formatAverage, bands, every card or tiers. It decides what you can work out.All 3on this page
  2. 2Find the price in itAdd up the bands, or cards, that sit under the pack price.73 in 100under $50
  3. 3Find pack 50Add chances from the cheapest card up until you pass half.$38middle pack
  4. 4Test the averageAsk what it is without the rarest cards.$49.15without the top 2 in 100
  5. 5Date it, then exit itOdds move, and a sell-back rate comes off every figure.86%sell-back rate

75 in 100 of these packs hold a card worth the price or less. Set a limit before you open an app: the responsible play page has a budget tool.

Questions about odds

What does EV mean on a card rip app?

Expected value: the long-run average card value per pack, at the app's own card prices. MNSTR states $54.75 on its $50 Starter pack. It is not what a typical pack holds: on that pack's own table the middle card is $38.

What is a hit rate?

The chance of one named card, or one tier of cards, in a single pack. Arena Club's help centre puts it as “Hit Rate is the likelihood that you'll get a specific card in your pack.” A hit rate of 0.0005% is about one pack in 200,000.

Is the median or the average the better number?

They answer different questions. The average is what a very long run of packs comes to per pack. The median is the card value a single pack is as likely to beat as not. For a handful of packs the median is the closer guide, and you usually have to work it out yourself.

Do the odds change after I look?

They can. 13 of 27 rated apps say in writing that odds move as cards are pulled, and the bands on our example pack moved between two reads a day apart. The odds and terms tracker logs dated changes.

Has anyone checked that pulls match the published odds?

Not us. Every figure here is an operator's published one or a sum of them, and nothing has been tested with money. What can and cannot be known from outside is in are card rip apps legit?

Alexander Korsager

Alexander Korsager

Every figure was read on public pages between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money yet. The MNSTR per-card table and the Tilt Rips page were read on 7 October 2026. Middle packs, sums and trimmed averages are our arithmetic on published figures.