Pack simulator: rip at real published odds

Rip a pack, then see where sessions end

Pick a pack with published odds

No value bands with an averageArena Club
No value bands with an averageRipit
No value bands with an averagePackz
No value bands with an averagerip.fun
Open-ended top bandCollector Crypt
Open-ended top bandMNSTR
No public odds tableRips by Triumph
No value bands with an averageBOXED.GG
No public odds tableStadium Vault
No public odds tableRip Rush
No public odds tableUnderdog Rips
No value bands with an averageClutchPacks
Open-ended top bandBeezie
No stated averageDOPA
No value bands with an averagePacks.com
No public odds tableGameStop Power Packs
No value bands with an averageGemint
No public odds tableCrown Cards
No value bands with an averageripz.gg

Lastpack · Starter Pack (Steady) · $5 a pack

Sealed pack$5Worth $3.50 to $1,000

Spent: $0
Back: $0.00
Net: $0.00

0 of 20 packs ripped · $100 of budget left · 0 kept

My budget for this session

Simulated. No money, no real cards; the card art is illustration, not the card pulled. For adults, 18 and over.

What $100 on the Lastpack Starter Pack (Steady) becomes, every card sold back

$95

−$5 to the odds

End ahead: 18%; of 1,000 sessions end above $100
Typical result: −$11; the median session ends with $89
Longest dry run: 25; packs in a row with no card above $5, in 20,000 dealt

Where 1,000 simulated $100 sessions end

$100 buys 20 packs. Finish a session and it is placed on this chart.

Every card sold back at 100% of its value, paid in stablecoin.

Sessions shown

What happens to the cards

The odds table this deals from

The odds it deals from

Every band, as the operator publishes it. Nothing is rounded or left out.

Lastpack: Starter Pack (Steady), $5

Published odds for Starter Pack (Steady) from Lastpack, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $5 price	Model average
$3.50 to $5	70.00%	Below	$3.68
$5 to $7.50	22.00%	At least	$5.30
$7.50 to $15	6.00%	At least	$8.41
$15 to $40	1.90%	At least	$18.05
$40 to $1,000	0.10%	At least	$157.07
All bands	100.00%	30.00% at least the price	$4.75 · 95% stated

Bands and chances as published on the Lastpack pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Phygitals: Rookie Pack (Pokémon), $25

Published odds for Rookie Pack (Pokémon) from Phygitals, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $25 price	Model average
$13 to $25	80.00%	Below	$13.86
$25 to $50	15.00%	At least	$26.80
$50 to $150	4.00%	At least	$57.21
$150 to $10,000	1.00%	At least	$859.95
All bands	100.00%	20.00% at least the price	$26 stated

Bands and chances as published on the Phygitals pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Repackz: Pokémon Starter Pack, $25

Published odds for Pokémon Starter Pack from Repackz, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $25 price	Model average
$12 to $22	59.98%	Below	$16.87
$22 to $25	22.50%	Below	$23.46
$25 to $50	16.62%	At least	$37.17
$50 to $100	0.75%	At least	$74.34
$100 to $400	0.15%	At least	$246.03
All bands	100.00%	17.52% at least the price	$22.50 stated

Bands and chances as published on the Repackz pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Tilt Rips: Starter Pack, $25

Published odds for Starter Pack from Tilt Rips, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $25 price	Model average
$12.50 to $25	61.03%	Below	$15.69
$25 to $75	38.29%	At least	$37.74
$75 to $250	0.60%	At least	$119.60
$250 to $400	0.09%	At least	$288.23
All bands	100.01%	38.98% at least the price	$25 · 100% stated

Bands and chances as published on the Tilt Rips pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

RipRip.io: All-Stars Pokémon Booster ($10 plus a $0.99 service fee), $10.99

Published odds for All-Stars Pokémon Booster ($10 plus a $0.99 service fee) from RipRip.io, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $10.99 price	Model average
$5 to $8	38.00%	Below	$5.91
$8.01 to $10	31.00%	Below	$8.61
$10.01 to $20	24.00%	Straddles	$13.04
$20.01 to $25	5.00%	At least	$21.52
$25.01 to $50	1.50%	At least	$32.58
$50.01 to $100	0.40%	At least	$65.16
$100.01 to $200	0.10%	At least	$130.31
All bands	100.00%	7.00% to 31.00% at least the price	$10 stated

Bands and chances as published on the RipRip.io pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Courtyard: Pokémon PSA 10, $69

Published odds for Pokémon PSA 10 from Courtyard, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $69 price	Model average
$48 to $60	58.00%	Below	$51.87
$60 to $69	19.00%	Below	$62.90
$69 to $138	20.00%	At least	$91.26
$138 to $276	3.00%	At least	$182.52
$276 to $1,100	0.10%	At least	$541.82
All bands	100.10%	23.10% at least the price	$66.24 stated

Bands and chances as published on the Courtyard pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Slabz: Poké 25, $25

Published odds for Poké 25 from Slabz, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $25 price	Model average
$13 to $30	75.00%	Straddles	$18.88
$30 to $55	20.00%	At least	$38.65
$55 to $125	4.00%	At least	$79.23
$125 to $500	1.00%	At least	$254.78
All bands	100.00%	25.00% to 100.00% at least the price	$27.61 stated

Bands and chances as published on the Slabz pack page (No commission), read 7 October 2026. The last column is ours.

Fanatics Instant Rips: Pokemon Value, $25

Published odds for Pokemon Value from Fanatics Instant Rips, band by band
Card value	Chance	Against $25 price	Model average
$13 to $19	54.90%	Below	$15.51
$19 to $27	29.70%	Straddles	$22.34
$27 to $39	6.60%	At least	$32.02
$39 to $55	6.60%	At least	$45.69
$55 to $80	1.10%	At least	$65.45
$80 to $115	1.10%	At least	$94.63
All bands	100.00%	15.40% to 45.10% at least the price	$22.04 stated

Bands and chances as published on the Fanatics Instant Rips pack page (No commission), read 6 October 2026. The last column is ours.

How it works and what it assumes

1Pick a bandEach pull lands in a value band with the chance the operator publishes.

2Place the cardInside the band, values lean toward the bottom. One setting per pack controls how far.

3Match the averageThat setting is fixed so the average pull equals the operator's own stated average.

4Apply the exitSold cards pay the published sell-back rate. Kept cards count at stated value.

Operators publish bands, not card values. Putting every card at the middle of its band gives an average above what the operator states, so midpoints would flatter the pack. The fitted average matches the stated one.

Lastpack Starter Pack (Steady): average card value in a $5 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $4.33 (87%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $6.07 (121%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $4.75 (95%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $4.73 (95%); 99.6% of stated

Phygitals Rookie Pack (Pokémon): average card value in a $25 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $17.65 (71%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $75.58 (302%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $26.00 (104%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $25.30 (101%); 97.3% of stated

Repackz Pokémon Starter Pack: average card value in a $25 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $16.83 (67%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $22.65 (91%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $22.50 (90%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $22.49 (90%); 100.0% of stated

Tilt Rips Starter Pack: average card value in a $25 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $17.87 (71%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $31.85 (127%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $25.00 (100%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $24.96 (100%); 99.8% of stated

RipRip.io All-Stars Pokémon Booster ($10 plus a $0.99 service fee): average card value in a $10.99 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $8.46 (77%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $11.00 (100%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $10.00 (91%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $9.99 (91%); 99.9% of stated

Courtyard Pokémon PSA 10: average card value in a $69 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $57.40 (83%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $71.10 (103%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $66.24 (96%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $66.10 (96%); 99.8% of stated

Slabz Poké 25: average card value in a $25 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $19.20 (77%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $31.35 (125%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $27.61 (110%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $27.48 (110%); 99.5% of stated

Fanatics Instant Rips Pokemon Value: average card value in a $25 pack

Every card at the bottom of its band: $18.62 (74%)
Every card at the middle of its band: $22.71 (91%); Too high: not used
What the operator states: $22.04 (88%)
Our 200,000 simulated rips: $22.00 (88%); 99.8% of stated

Percentages are of the pack price. The shape inside each band is our assumption: operators do not publish it. Charts use a fixed random seed, so everyone sees the same sessions.

Apps we cannot simulate, and why

A simulator needs published value bands and a stated average. These do not offer both on public pages.

Courtyard, Slabz: odds yes, sell-back rate no. The percentage is not on the public pages, so the tool shows card value only and cannot say what selling back pays.

What a simulator cannot tell you

Shipping cost

Not modelled

6 of these 8 apps publish any wording on the fee.

LastpackCarrier rate, at checkout
PhygitalsFrom $15.41 US, $39.50 abroad
Repackz$3 a card, plus shipping

3 more, and every app's full terms, are on the cash-out page.

Today's odds

Snapshot, 6 October 2026

These apps say their tables change, so each may have moved since.

Lastpack“Odds change in real time as inventory is purchased and opened.”
Repackz“Odds update in real time as other users open packs.”
RipRip.io“Odds are calculated in real time.”

Whether values are fair

Taken as given

Card values are the operator's own. Nothing here compares them with real sale prices.

Getting money out

Not modelled

Withdrawal minimums, fees and waiting times sit outside the simulation.

Nothing here has been tested with money. Cash-out, buyback and shipping compared covers what each app publishes. For one app's packs card by card, see the pull checklist.

Set a limit before a real session

18+

Every app here that states an age limit sets it at 18. This tool is for adults.

$5 per $100

The average cost of ripping and selling back at Lastpack. Treat it as the price of the entertainment.

Stop at zero

The simulator ends a session when its budget is spent. Decide your own figure before opening an app.

Responsible play has limits and self-exclusion tools. The National Council on Problem Gambling lists free, confidential help.

Questions people ask

Are these the real odds?

They are the value bands and chances each operator published on its pack page, read on 6 October 2026. Which card you get inside a band is our model, fitted to the operator's stated average.

Can I win anything here?

No. Nothing is paid in or out and no card exists. A good simulated pull says nothing about your next real one.

Why does most of the chart sit below the starting line?

Most pulls are worth less than the pack, and a sell-back takes a further cut. A few rare cards pull the average up without lifting the typical session.

Why is my app not in the picker?

It does not publish an odds table and an average on public pages, or we have not captured them yet. We do not guess odds.

Sources20

Lastpack: Starter Pack (Steady) odds lastpack.com · No commission
Lastpack: sell-back terms support.lastpack.com · No commission
Lastpack: shipping support.lastpack.com · No commission
Phygitals: Rookie Pack (Pokémon) odds phygitals.com · No commission
Phygitals: sell-back terms docs.phygitals.com · No commission
Phygitals: shipping docs.phygitals.com · No commission
Repackz: Pokémon Starter Pack odds collectibles.com · No commission
Repackz: sell-back terms collectibles.helpscoutdocs.com · No commission
Repackz: shipping collectibles.helpscoutdocs.com · No commission
Tilt Rips: Starter Pack odds tiltrips.com · No commission
Tilt Rips: sell-back terms tiltrips.com · No commission
RipRip.io: All-Stars Pokémon Booster ($10 plus a $0.99 service fee) odds riprip.io · No commission
RipRip.io: sell-back terms riprip.io · No commission
Courtyard: Pokémon PSA 10 odds courtyard.io · No commission
Courtyard: sell-back terms docs.courtyard.io · No commission
Courtyard: shipping help.courtyard.io · No commission
Slabz: Poké 25 odds slabz.com · No commission
Fanatics Instant Rips: Pokemon Value odds fanaticscollect.com · No commission
Fanatics Instant Rips: sell-back terms support.fanaticscollect.com · No commission
Fanatics Instant Rips: shipping support.fanaticscollect.com · No commission

Alexander Korsager

Odds and exit terms were read on public pages on 6 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money. The scoring behind the app order is on How we rate.

Rip a pack at real published odds