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Pokémon chase cards, at each app's own odds

86 cards that 4 apps name as top pulls, each with the value and the chance that app states. Read on 7 October 2026; nothing was opened.

See all 86 cards

By Alexander Korsager · Checked 7 October 2026 · We earn nothing from any app on this site

Neo Genesis Lugia 1st Edition Holo #9BGS 9.5 slabMNSTR · Monster pack, $250

MNSTR's value
$48,270.35BGS 9.5 slab
Stated chance
0.0011%1 in 90,909 packs
Average bill for one
$22.7M90,909 packs at $250
chase cards86
apps name them4
with a stated value66

The 86 Pokémon chase cards read

Sort by the app's value or by its stated chance. Tap a card for what that chance costs.

BGS9.5
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis Lugia 1st Edition Holo #9 BGS 9.5MNSTR review
App's value
$48,270.35BGS 9.5 slab
Stated chance
0.0011%1 in 90,909 packs
Bill for one
$22.7M90,909 packs on average
Adds to a pack
$0.530.21% of the price
Monster pack, $250. Also in 1 other product, at a lower chanceSee it on MNSTRNo commission
Showing 12 of 86 cards.

A card is shown once per app, in the pack that gives it the best chance. Values are each app's own and are not like for like: some are for ungraded copies, some for graded slabs. Other games: One Piece chase cards and Sports chase cards.

What the odds cost

The dearest card read on each pack, the packs it takes on average to hit one copy at the stated chance, and the bill for them at the pack's price.

the dearest card's stated value$48,270
what it adds to a $250 pack$0.53
the most any card here adds to a pack$16.18
The dearest card read on each pack, its stated chance and the average bill for one copy
Card and packChanceBill for oneAdds to a pack
Neo Genesis Lugia 1st Edition Holo #9MNSTR · Great pack, $1000.0002% · 1 in 500,000 packs0.0002%1 in 500,000$50Mvalue $48,270.35$0.10 · 0.10%
Neo Genesis Lugia 1st Edition Holo #9MNSTR · Monster pack, $2500.0011% · 1 in 90,909 packs0.0011%1 in 90,909$22.7Mvalue $48,270.35$0.53 · 0.21%
HeartGold and SoulSilver Undaunted #86 Umbreon Prime HOLO RMNSTR · Starter pack, $500.0005% · 1 in 200,000 packs0.0005%1 in 200,000$10Mvalue $7,937.23$0.04 · 0.08%
Mew Gold Star2006 Pokemon EX · Base · #101Arena Club · Diamond Pokémon pack, $1,0000.03% · 1 in 3,333 packs0.03%1 in 3,333$3.33Mvalue not publishedNot known: no value
Gengar VMAX2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · Base · #020Arena Club · Silver Pokémon pack, $500.01% · 1 in 10,000 packs0.01%1 in 10,000$500,000value not publishedNot known: no value
Pikachu & Zekrom GXJapaneseDOPA · Tag-Team Titans! pack, $180.006% · 1 in 16,667 packs0.006%1 in 16,667$300,000value $7,900$0.47 · 2.6%
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)SWSH07: Evolving Skies · 215/203 · HolofoilPacks.com · Best of Sword & Shield single pull, $242.710.1% · 1 in 1,000 pulls0.1%1 in 1,000$242,710value $2,278.64$2.28 · 0.94%
CharizardBase Set · 004/102 · HolofoilPacks.com · Charizard, I choose you! single pull, $211.870.1% · 1 in 1,000 pulls0.1%1 in 1,000$211,870value $1,529.74$1.53 · 0.72%
Mewtwo GX (Secret Shining)Shining Legends · 78/73 · HolofoilPacks.com · Mewtwo, I choose you! single pull, $116.920.1% · 1 in 1,000 pulls0.1%1 in 1,000$116,920value $1,039.50$1.04 · 0.89%
Pikachu exME: Ascended Heroes · 276/217 · HolofoilPacks.com · Pikachu, I choose you! single pull, $115.890.1% · 1 in 1,000 pulls0.1%1 in 1,000$115,890value $815.11$0.82 · 0.70%

The 10 costliest of 18 packs and single pulls. The bill is an average: it assumes the stated chance holds, and lists move as cards are pulled. A card two packs share is costed in each; a Packs.com card only where its chance is best. To see how a chase plays out, use the chase odds calculator.

How each app states it

What was read at each app, what its value is a value of and what its chance is a chance of.

  • Packs.comRead the review
    24 cards
    Read
    Every card of 22 packs and 61 single pulls: 8,153 cards. The 24 dearest are shown.
    Value
    Its own value for an ungraded copy, in Coins, which its terms set at one US dollar each
    Chance
    For a pack, how many of the card an average pack holds. For a single pull, the chance of the card
    Note
    Coins cannot be withdrawn as money. Values and prices refresh several times a day.
  • MNSTRRead the review
    30 cards
    Read
    The 12 dearest cards on each of three pack pages: Starter, Great and Monster. The Ultra page's list did not load.
    Value
    “FMV”: its own fair-market value for that graded slab
    Chance
    “Odds”: the chance of that one slab from one pack
    Note
    The list moves with stock, and values move within a day: a second read the same day showed some up to about 2% apart. The page prints a chance of 0.01% or more to two decimals.
  • Arena ClubRead the review
    20 cards
    Read
    Two of its Pokémon pack pages: Silver and Diamond. Each names three Grail and eight Chase slabs; 2 Chase names had not loaded when read and are missing. The Lineup tier under them, about fifty slabs a pack, is not listed here.
    Value
    Not published for a card. An offer is shown only after a reveal
    Chance
    “Hit rate per card”: the chance of that one slab from one pack, rounded to the nearest 0.01%
    Note
    The checklist changes as slabs are pulled. A pulled slab is replaced with one of similar value, on the help centre's account.
  • DOPARead the review
    12 cards
    Read
    The 12 dearest prizes on one pack page, “Tag-Team Titans!”. Its packs change often.
    Value
    The dollar value printed beside each prize
    Chance
    The percentage printed beside each prize, for one pull
    Note
    Cards are Japanese-language. Whether the percentages change as the pack empties is not stated.

“The checklist updates in real time as users pull cards.”

Arena Club help centre, read on 7 October 2026. Its hit rates are a dated read, not a standing offer.

Apps that publish a figure per card and are not in the gallery
Not in the galleryWhy
BOXED.GGIts drop tables are in gems, with no exact dollar price for a gem
ripz.ggIts per-card rates are its own estimates of sealed-pack odds, for digital cards, in gems

Questions people ask

What is a chase card?

The card a pack is sold on: the rare, valuable one at the top of its list. Apps name the tier differently. Arena Club files its top slabs under Grail and Chase, and MNSTR marks one card on each pack as its chase. More terms are in the glossary.

Where do the chances come from?

From each app's own public page, read on 7 October 2026. They are the app's stated figures, not something we measured: nothing was bought or opened. Every app's page is in the sources below.

How is the bill for one card worked out?

One divided by the stated chance gives the packs that hold one copy on average. Times the pack's price, that is the bill. It is an average at the chance stated on the day: a buyer can hit sooner, or never, and lists change as cards are pulled. The chase odds calculator shows the spread.

Can I compare one app's value with another's?

Only loosely. Each value is that app's own. Packs.com values an ungraded copy, MNSTR and DOPA a graded slab, and a grade changes a price many times over. For a market price to set beside any of them, see card prices and how apps set fair market value.

Which apps are missing?

Many apps publish odds for value bands, not for named cards, so they have nothing to list here. BOXED.GG and ripz.gg publish a figure per card that is not used here; the table above says why.

Alexander Korsager

Alexander Korsager

Every figure was read on public pages between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money yet. Values and chances are each app's own figures. The bill for one card and what a card adds to a pack are our sums from them. See also Pokémon apps.