Rip for the card, or just buy it?
Charizard ex is a 1 in 412 pull from Packs.com's 151 pack: $8,040 of packs for a card TCGplayer prices at $334. Check any of 120 chase cards.
By Alexander Korsager · Checked 7 October 2026 · We earn nothing from any app on this site
Charizard ex, 1511 in 412 packs at $19.53 a pack
- Rip until it lands$8,040412 packs on average, 24× the price of the card
- Buy the single$334TCGplayer market price
Price a chase
120 cards on 10 Packs.com packs, each with the app's own chance per pack and TCGplayer's market price for the single.
Mega Gengar ex 284/217Ascended Heroes · Special Illustration Rare · 1,376 packs: the long-run average number of packs
- Rip, keep every card$16,8641,376 packs at $12.26. 20× the buy price.
- Rip, sell the rest for coins$2,599Every other card sold back at the app's value. 3.1× the buy price.
- Buy the single$848TCGplayer market price, holofoil printing.
Odds, pack price and value: Packs.com, read 7 October 2026. Buy price: TCGplayer, read 7 October 2026.The pack on Packs.comNo commissionThe card on TCGplayer
Selling the rest only works as coins: Packs.com pays no cash out. For the whole list a pack can give, see the pull checklist.
Why the pack always costs more
Sell every other card back at full value and the chase still costs the card plus the app's margin on each pack opened.
Pulling Charizard ex from 151, every other card sold: $1,162
Packs.com help centre, on how a pack is priced · read 7 October 2026
“weight it by the chance of pulling it, and add our margin”Read the article
The rarer the card, the more packs the margin is paid on. That is why a short vintage checklist comes closest to the buy price and a 1 in thousands card comes nowhere near it.
Every pack's dearest card
The top card on each checklist: what pulling it costs on average against buying it. Closest call first.
| Card | Rip | Rip, rest sold | Buy |
|---|---|---|---|
| CharizardBase Set 2 · 1 in 40 · Pokémon | $2,5005.7× the buy | $6511.5× the buy | $436TCGplayer |
| Black LotusUnlimited · 1 in 116 · Magic | $114,7796.2× the buy | $29,9531.6× the buy | $18,474app value |
| Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · 1 in 369 · Pokémon | $2,32017× the buy | $3862.9× the buy | $134TCGplayer |
| Mega Gengar exAscended Heroes · 1 in 1,376 · Pokémon | $16,86420× the buy | $2,5993.1× the buy | $848TCGplayer |
| Leonardo, Sewer Samurai (Borderless) (Gold-Stamped Signature)Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles · 1 in 5,051 · Magic | $60,25320× the buy | $10,1503.4× the buy | $3,002TCGplayer |
| Charizard ex151 · 1 in 412 · Pokémon | $8,04024× the buy | $1,1623.5× the buy | $334TCGplayer |
| Bloom Tender (0400) (Showcase) (Fracture Foil)Lorwyn Eclipsed · 1 in 2,021 · Magic | $23,47552× the buy | $2,9446.6× the buy | $448TCGplayer |
| The One Ring (Borderless Poster)Lord of the Rings · 1 in 1,380 · Magic | $108,99362× the buy | $13,5587.7× the buy | $1,753TCGplayer |
| Force of Will (JP Alternate Art) (Silver Scroll Foil)Secrets of Strixhaven · 1 in 5,953 · Magic | $116,548121× the buy | $12,81513× the buy | $964TCGplayer |
| Mega Zygarde exPerfect Order · 1 in 2,500 · Pokémon | $15,825154× the buy | $1,71317× the buy | $103TCGplayer |
“App value” marks a card TCGplayer published no market price for on 7 October 2026: the buy price is not confirmed, and Packs.com's own value stands in. 3 of the 120 cards are like that and are left out of the three counts above.
If the goal is not one card
The sums settle one goal only: owning a single named card. Other goals read differently.
Buy the single
All 117cards with a TCGplayer price cost less to buy than to pull, at average luck and with the rest sold back.Count the margin
90%of the price comes back as cards on average, at the app's values. A set built from packs pays the gap on every one.Cap the spend first
37%of chasers still lack a 1 in 412 card after 412 packs. The card is never certain, so any limit has to be set on the spend.Whether ripping pays at all is a wider question: see is card ripping worth it. Limits each app offers are on the responsible play page.
What the sums leave out
Two sources, read a day apart, do not make a like-for-like quote. Four gaps to know before acting on a bar.
Two prices for one card
+12%Packs.com's value over TCGplayer's market price, the median of 117 cards. The app says its value is TCGplayer's near-mint market price plus an amount for taxes and handling; the figure read here is not split by condition.Getting the card in hand
$7.43Packs.com shipping: $7.43 an order in the US, $29.72 abroad, flat for up to 50 cards. A TCGplayer seller's shipping is not confirmed here. Neither is in the bars.Coins, not cash
No cash outA sold card returns 100% of its value as coins, which buy more packs. The middle bar is money you could spend there, not money back.Other apps
5 more appsArena Club, MNSTR, BOXED.GG, DOPA, and ripz.gg also publish a chance per card. No full list from them is on record here, so their cards are not priced.Odds and pack prices were read on 7 October 2026, and Packs.com says values refresh several times a day. How its values compare with sold prices is in the value check.
Questions people ask
Is it cheaper to buy a single or to rip packs for it?
To buy it, for every card with a market price here. 117 of the 117 chase cards TCGplayer prices cost more to pull than to buy, even with every other card sold back. Charizard ex from 151 takes 412 packs on average, $8,040, against $334 on TCGplayer.
How many packs does it take to pull one specific card?
On average, one divided by the card's chance per pack: a 1 in 412 card takes 412 packs. That is an average, not a promise. About 37% of people who open that many still do not hold the card.
What if I sell everything else I pull?
It narrows the gap and never closes it. At Packs.com a sold card returns its full value in coins, so the chase then costs the card's value plus the app's margin on every pack. For Charizard ex that is $1,162, and the coins cannot be withdrawn as cash.
Does this cover sealed packs from a shop?
No. Every figure here is for a Packs.com pack, whose chance per card is published. Sealed retail packs are not priced on this page. For odds given as value bands on other apps, use the chase odds calculator.
Sources18
- Packs.com: Chaos Rising pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Perfect Order pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Ascended Heroes pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: 151 pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Base Set 2 pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Lorwyn Eclipsed pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Secrets of Strixhaven pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Lord of the Rings pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com: Unlimited pack feed, per-card chances and values api.packs.com
- Packs.com help centre: how pack, single pull and card prices are set help.packs.com
- Packs.com help centre: selling cards back for coins help.packs.com
- TCGplayer: price feed for Charizard ex 199/165 mpapi.tcgplayer.com
- TCGplayer: Charizard ex 199/165 product page tcgplayer.com
- TCGplayer: price feed for Mega Gengar ex 284/217 mpapi.tcgplayer.com
- TCGplayer: Mega Gengar ex 284/217 product page tcgplayer.com
- TCGplayer: price feed for Charizard 004/130 mpapi.tcgplayer.com
- TCGplayer: Charizard 004/130 product page tcgplayer.com

Every figure was read on public pages between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money yet. Market prices were read on TCGplayer on 7 October 2026; 3 of 120 had none and are marked. The cost sums are checked in code against every card on the page.