Mystery box sites, added up from their own odds
7 mystery box sites sell trading-card boxes. Each prints a chance and a value for every item, and none prints the total. We summed one card box per site. Tap a site.
By Alexander Korsager · Checked 7 October 2026 · We earn nothing from any app on this site
Chinese Pokemon box, $41.77by HypeDrop's own table
90.1%of the price comes back in listed value
66 of 100 opens: item listed under the price34: at or over it
PSA or Nay box, $516.25by Cases.gg's own table
89.5%of the price comes back in listed value
95 of 100 opens: item listed under the price5: at or over it
Pokemon 30th Rip box, $2.14by PackDraw's own table
88.9%of the price comes back in listed value
98 of 100 opens: item listed under the price2: at or over it
NHL 2020's Chase box, 319 gemsby BOXED.GG's own table
85.0%of the price comes back in listed value
94 of 100 opens: item listed under the price6: at or over it
Charizard Pokemon Cards box, $16.58by Jemlit's own table
80.0%of the price comes back in listed value
93 of 100 opens: item listed under the price7: at or over it
5%: Dual Lands! box, 65.74 coinsby Pullbox's own table
80.0%of the price comes back in listed value
95 of 100 opens: item listed under the price5: at or over it
Pokémon Mega Evolution box, $15.49by RillaBox's own table
150.7%of the price in listed value: not read as a return
83 of 100 opens: item listed under the price17: at or over it
Card rip app or mystery box site?
Both sell a random draw with odds attached. Five things differ, and each changes what a pull is worth to you.
Card rip app
Mystery box site
BOXED.GG sits in both columns: it is a mystery box site and one of the 27 rated apps. New to the terms? Start with what card ripping is.
What each site's own table adds up to
One card box per site, copied whole on 7 October 2026: every chance times every listed value, against the price. Tap a row for its box.
Chance times listed value over every item, as a share of the box price. Longer is better for the buyer.
HypeDrop: Chinese Pokemon
- Price to open
- $41.77
- Listed value back
- 90.1%
- $90.10 per $100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 400
- Storming Emergence: Verdant booster box, listed at $563.49
- Most likely item
- 5.5%
- Gem Pack Vol. 4 booster pack, listed at $2.49
Downside: Every exchange carries a fee that is only shown at the point of exchange.
Each outcome under the price also shows an XP amount, from +712 XP on a $39.99 item to about +15.7k XP on a $2.49 one.
The 91-item table on HypeDropNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
Cases.gg: PSA or Nay
- Price to open
- $516.25
- Listed value back
- 89.5%
- $89.50 per $100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 120
- Evolving Skies six-box case, listed at $20,000
- Most likely item
- 12.5%
- My First Battle deck, listed at $6.20
Downside: It states a 10% house edge, and its footer links a casino under the same menu as its card boxes.
The 18-item table on Cases.ggNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
PackDraw: Pokemon 30th Rip
- Price to open
- $2.14
- Listed value back
- 88.9%
- $88.90 per $100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 66,667
- Any of three 30th Celebration Mew secret rares, listed at $7,000
- Most likely item
- 97.9%
- “Pokemon Card Back”, listed at $0.50
Downside: Deposited credits must all be used before anything can be withdrawn.
The 18-item table on PackDrawNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
BOXED.GG: NHL 2020's Chase
- Price to open
- 319 gems
- Listed value back
- 85.0%
- 85 gems per 100
- Dearest item
- Table not held here
- Most likely item
- Table not held here
Downside: Selling a card back pays gems, which cannot be turned into money. The only cash route is an Ethereum withdrawal that needs ID, a verified phone and manual approval.
Summed for its review on 6 October 2026 from the full drop table, in gems. A second box, Pokemon 30th Anniversary, came to 85.0% as well.
The box page on BOXED.GGNo commissionRead the BOXED.GG reviewRead 6 October 2026
Jemlit: Charizard Pokemon Cards
- Price to open
- $16.58
- Listed value back
- 80.0%
- $80.00 per $100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 5,181
- Charizard Holo, Skyridge, listed at $3,399.88
- Most likely item
- 31.6%
- Charizard Spirit Link, listed at $5
Downside: There is no cash route at all: an unwanted card becomes credits, and credits never become money.
Two of the 16 outcomes are JemLit Credits, at $15 and $13.60.
The 16-item table on JemlitNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
Pullbox: 5%: Dual Lands!
- Price to open
- 65.74 coins
- Listed value back
- 80.0%
- 80 coins per 100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 333
- Underground Sea, listed at 2,445.18 coins
- Most likely item
- 95.0%
- Evolving Wilds, listed at 0.23 coins
Downside: Selling back pays coins only, and a card left in the inventory turns into a coin voucher after 30 or 60 days.
Priced in coins. The FAQ calls a coin value a “custom in-house value”, and we read no dollar price for a coin without an account.
The 11-item table on PullboxNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
RillaBox: Pokémon Mega Evolution
- Price to open
- $15.49
- Listed value back
- 150.7%
- $150.70 per $100
- Dearest item
- 1 in 9,009
- 1998 Scyther holo, PSA 9, listed at $1,899.99
- Most likely item
- 44.0%
- Pokemon Gible sticker, listed at $1.39
Downside: Its listed item values add up to more than the box price, so they tell you little about what an item exchanges for. That rate is shown only inside an account.
A site that paid these listed values back would lose money on every open, so we do not read them as exchange values. The terms say an item is exchanged “at the rate specified for each item”, which is not public.
The 35-item table on RillaBoxNo commissionRead 7 October 2026
Listed values are each site's own, not market prices, and another box on the same site can differ. This is not a rating: our scoring needs terms we have not read for six of these sites. RillaBox is set last because its listed values exceed its price.
What each site puts in writing
From each site's terms, help and fairness pages, read 7 October 2026. Pick a question, then tap any answer for the site's words and the source.
Does it show the chance of each item? 7 of 7 do, on the box page.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | Every item, on the box pageRead on the operator's own page “we provide the odds of pulling every single item in every box” Two box pages were read without an account, each with a full drop table. Checked 6 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Cases.gg | Every item, on the box pageRead on the operator's own page “Remember, the page also displays the probabilities for each item in the box, giving you a clear understanding of your chances.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | Every item, behind a toggleRead on the operator's own page “To see the probability of each individual item within a box, click ‘Toggle Rates’ at the top to see the chance displayed as a percentage.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | Every item, on the box pageRead on the operator's own page “You can preview which items are inside a box and the odds of getting them.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | Every item, on the pack pageRead on the operator's own page “Every pack shows exactly what's inside and the odds for each item.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | Every item, on the box pageRead on the operator's own page “Every box lists its full item pool and the exact odds.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | Every item, on the box pageRead on the operator's own page Each of the 35 items on the box page we read carries a chance to four decimal places. No sentence on the site promises this for every box. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
Can you redo a draw? All 7 describe a seed hash shown before you open. 4 print code or a tool to redo it; the others check inside the account.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | Seed hash, revealed a day laterRead on the operator's own page “We publish a hash of the server seed before you play and reveal the actual server seed afterward” The article does not name the hash function. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Cases.gg | Seed hash, browser seed, nonceRead on the operator's own page “This seed is hashed using SHA256 and displayed to the player as Server Hash.” The seed is shown once you retire it. The page we read prints no code to redo the draw. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | Seed hash, your seed, play countRead on the operator's own page “Before you play, we’ll show you an encrypted version, or hash, so that we can guarantee that it’s a predetermined result” HMAC-SHA256 into one of 100,000,000 roll numbers. The page prints the code and links a copy that runs in a browser. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | Seed hash, your seed, nonceRead on the operator's own page “You will get an encrypted hash of the Server Seed before you start playing.” HMAC with SHA-512/256 into a roll from 0 to 100. The page walks through the sum with code to paste into an online PHP runner. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | Seed hash, your seed, nonceRead on the operator's own page “A hash of this value is provided to you before any purchase.” SHA-512 into a ticket from 1 to 1,000,000. The page prints the function. Battles use a future EOS block hash in place of your seed. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | Seed hash, your seed, salt, nonceRead on the operator's own page “The server seed is committed before you open and revealed after, so you can re-run the math and confirm nothing was rigged.” HMAC-SHA512 with a SHA-256 commitment. Checking runs from a Verify button in the account's box history; the page prints no code. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | Hashed server number, your seedRead on the operator's own page “The server seed is kept secret until the game ends, while the client seed can be chosen by the player.” SHA256. Checking runs from a “verify” link in the inventory log; the box page prints no code. Dated 12 November 2025. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
Does it state what it keeps? 1 of 7: Cases.gg.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it No return figure or average value is stated on the box pages, help centre or terms read for its review. Checked 6 Oct 2026. |
| Cases.gg | 10% on casesRead on the operator's own page “Cases: 10% House Edge” The same list gives 10% for battles and the upgrader and about 6.5% for crash. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it We searched its terms, FAQ and fairness page for a house edge, a return rate or an average value and found none. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it We searched its terms, FAQ and fairness page for a house edge, a return rate or an average value and found none. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it We searched its terms, fairness page and homepage for a house edge, a return rate or an average value and found none. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it We searched its terms of use and how-it-works page for a house edge, a return rate or an average value and found none. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | None statedWe looked and the operator does not publish it We searched its terms and its box fairness page for a house edge, a return rate or an average value and found none. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
How does value leave the site? None describes a bank payout. 5 describe crypto; 2 pay site credit only.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | Ship, sell back for gems, or withdraw as EthereumRead on the operator's own page “You can withdraw the value held in your BOXED account as Ethereum (ETH).” Items, not gems, are withdrawn, and only as Ethereum. It needs identity verification, a verified phone and approval “reviewed by hand”. No bank or card payout is described. The purchase terms say gems “cannot be withdrawn, sold, transferred, or converted to fiat currency”. Checked 6 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Cases.gg | Ship (North America, EU) or crypto, after wagering the balanceRead on the operator's own page “Only prizes can be withdrawn, not deposits. Balance must be fully wagered before they can be withdrawn via either prizes or cryptocurrency.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | Ship, or exchange for credits or crypto, less a feeRead on the operator's own page “All exchanges are subject to a fee which is displayed on the Site at the point of exchange and is subject to change.” The same terms say credits “cannot be transferred between players or exchanged for real-money”. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | Ship, or exchange for credits onlyRead on the operator's own page “No, it's not possible to exchange Jemlit Credits for real money.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | Ship (US, Canada) or withdraw in cryptoRead on the operator's own page “You understand and agree that you must utilize the full amount of any Credits deposited with PackDraw before you may withdraw Credits from PackDraw.” The homepage says “Ship your prize or cash out instantly”; the terms describe the cash route as cryptocurrency. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | Ship the card (US, Canada) or sell back for coinsRead on the operator's own page “Only physical items may be withdrawn. We do not offer crypto or any other forms of monetary withdrawal.” A held item becomes a coin voucher after 60 days, or 30 days above 500 coins. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | Ship, exchange for credits, or crypto after wagering the depositRead on the operator's own page “RillaBox allow you to withdraw winnings via cryptocurrency” The help page adds that the whole deposit must be wagered first and the minimum is $25. The terms say “the Site does not allow withdrawals or transfers of credits between individuals”. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
Do its terms say a box is worth its price? 2 of 7 do, and both count XP as value.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | None foundWe looked and the operator does not publish it No clause on a box's value was noted when its terms were read for the review. Checked 6 Oct 2026. |
| Cases.gg | None foundWe looked and the operator does not publish it Its terms carry no clause on a box's value. They do say: “NO PURCHASE OR PAYMENT IS NECESSARY TO PARTICIPATE OR PLAY.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | XP counts as value: $1 = 400 XPRead on the operator's own page “the value of Items obtained in a Box will be equal to or greater than the Box's retail price as the supplemental XP has fair market value set at 1USD=400XP” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | None foundWe looked and the operator does not publish it Its terms carry no clause on a box's value. Two of the 16 outcomes in the box we read are site credits, not goods. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | Item “and/or XP” matches the priceRead on the operator's own page “At all times, it shall be ensured that the value of the Item(s) and/or XP disclosed within a Pack shall be equivalent to or surpass the monetary consideration paid for said Pack.” The terms put no dollar figure on XP. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | None foundWe looked and the operator does not publish it Its terms carry no clause on a box's value. They say: “All sales are final and no refund will be issued.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | None foundWe looked and the operator does not publish it Its terms carry no clause on a box's value. An item is exchanged “at the rate specified for each item”, which we could not see without an account. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
Which company is behind it? 5 of 7 name a company in Cyprus or Nevis.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | Loot Labs, Inc. dba Boxed.ggRead on the operator's own page “a legal contract between Loot Labs, Inc. dba Boxed.gg and its affiliates” Checked 6 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Cases.gg | CGG Entertainment Ltd, CyprusRead on the operator's own page “Cases.gg is owned and operated by CGG Entertainment Ltd, registration number HE439425, located at Gerasimou 11, Strovolos, 2040, Nicosia, Cyprus.” Terms last updated 2 July 2025. They say the site does “NOT OFFER REAL MONEY GAMBLING”; the footer carries a problem-gambling help link. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | Packed Ltd, NevisRead on the operator's own page “Hypedrop.com is operated by Packed Ltd” Registered office in Charlestown, Nevis. Terms dated 1 August 2026. They add: “We are not an investment scheme nor are we a gambling site”. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | JLT Digital Media LTD, CyprusRead on the operator's own page “The website JemLit.com is owned and operated by JLT Digital Media LTD” Registered office in Strovolos, Nicosia. The terms carry no date and do not use the word gambling. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | PackDraw US, LLC (Delaware) and Packdraw Limited (Cyprus)Read on the operator's own page “the governing terms between you and PackDraw US, LLC” The site footer names both companies as the PackDraw Group. Terms last updated 8 August 2026. Affiliates are told: “Do not market PackDraw as an illegal gambling or gambling service.” Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | CCG Labs, LLC, DelawareRead on the operator's own page “CCG Labs, LLC 651 North Broad Street Suite 201 Middletown, DE 19709 United States” The how-it-works page says orders ship from Syracuse, New York. The terms do not use the word gambling. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | Technexus Ltd, CyprusRead on the operator's own page “Rillabox.com is operated by Technexus Ltd” Registered office in Limassol. The terms carry no date and do not use the word gambling. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
Who may use it? 4 of 7 exclude or restrict US states in writing.
| Site | In its own words |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | 18+. 4 US states excludedRead on the operator's own page “BOXED is not available in Michigan, Washington, Louisiana, or South Carolina.” From the help centre. The terms of service name no state. Checked 6 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Cases.gg | 18+. 5 US states excludedRead on the operator's own page “We offer our Services in the United States, with the exception of the states of Idaho, Montanta, Michigan, Nevada and Washington state.” Spelling as printed. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| HypeDrop | 18+. Washington state restrictedRead on the operator's own page “Persons located in or resident in: Cyprus, Denmark, Lithuania, Ontario, Slovakia, Slovenia and Washington state; are restricted from accessing parts of the Services.” A second list bars 25 countries outright, the United Kingdom among them. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Jemlit | 18+. No blocked place namedRead on the operator's own page “We ship worldwide.” The terms set the age: “The User must be 18 years old”. They list no excluded country or state. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| PackDraw | 18+. Unnamed US states excludedRead on the operator's own page “PackDraw is only arranging for delivery of Items to persons in the United States of America (except for those states where PackDraw is not offered) and Canada.” The terms name no state. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| Pullbox | Age not stated. Ships to US and CanadaWe looked and the operator does not publish it “Currently, we only offer shipping to the United States and Canada.” We found no minimum age and no excluded state in the terms of use. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
| RillaBox | 18+. No blocked place namedRead on the operator's own page “you confirm that you are at least 18 years of age” The help page says it ships to “100+ countries” and names none it excludes. Checked 7 Oct 2026. Open the source |
A seed hash stops a result being changed after you pay. It says nothing about the table itself: see what provably fair proves.
The clause that makes every box “worth its price”
HypeDrop and PackDraw say in their terms that a box always returns its price in value. Both count XP as part of that value.
HypeDrop, Chinese Pokemon box, $41.77: two outcomes as its page shows them
XP priced at HypeDrop's own rate of $1 = 400 XP. Its terms: “Our Credits and XP cannot be transferred between players or exchanged for real-money.”
“the value of Items obtained in a Box will be equal to or greater than the Box's retail price as the supplemental XP has fair market value set at 1USD=400XP”
“At all times, it shall be ensured that the value of the Item(s) and/or XP disclosed within a Pack shall be equivalent to or surpass the monetary consideration paid for said Pack.”
So the sums above count goods only. With XP added at the stated rate, both outcomes drawn here come to the box price, which is how the clause holds.
Read a box page in five checks
Before paying to open any box, on any site.
- 1Find the item tableAll 7 sites here print one on the box page. HypeDrop keeps the chances behind a toggle.
- 2Add it upChance times listed value, over every item, against the price. 6 tables here came to 80% to 90.1%.
- 3Read the most likely itemIt is the single likeliest result. On PackDraw's box that was a $0.50 “Pokemon Card Back”, 97.9% of opens.
- 4Ask what a value paysA listed value is not a sell-back. Look for the exchange fee, and whether the site pays credit, crypto or cash.
- 5Check you may use itAge, country and state lists sit in the terms, not on the box page.
Sites we could not read
This list is not every mystery box site. These were opened the same day and left out.
| Site | Why it is not above |
|---|---|
| GOATbox | No trading-card box was on its homepage on the day. |
| Lootie, LuxDrop, Krush.gg | Each answered with a bot check, by plain request and through the page reader. |
| Mr Loot, Royale.gg, DrakeMall | The pages returned no readable content to a plain request or the page reader. |
Questions people ask
What is a mystery box site?
A site that sells a random draw from a published list of items. You pay to open a box, a draw picks one item, and you ship it or exchange it for site credit or, at some sites, crypto.
Do mystery box sites publish their odds?
The 7 read here do: each box page we read lists every item with a chance and a value. None prints what the table adds up to. On the boxes we summed it came to 80% to 90.1% of the price in listed value.
What is the house edge on a mystery box?
Cases.gg is the only one of the 7 that states one: 10% on cases. Its box summed to 89.5% of the price, within a point of it. The others state none, so the sum is the only figure there is.
Is a listed item value what I can sell it for?
Not necessarily. RillaBox's listed values add up to more than the box costs, and a site paying those back would lose money on every open. HypeDrop charges an exchange fee shown only at the point of exchange.
Sources25
- BOXED.GG: provably fair help article helpdesk.boxed.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Cases.gg: terms and conditions, last updated 2 July 2025 cases.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Cases.gg: FAQ, with the house edge list cases.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Cases.gg: fairness cases.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Cases.gg: PSA or Nay box page cases.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- HypeDrop: terms of service, effective 1 August 2026 hypedrop.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- HypeDrop: provably fair hypedrop.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- HypeDrop: FAQ hypedrop.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- HypeDrop: Chinese Pokemon box page hypedrop.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Jemlit: terms and conditions jemlit.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Jemlit: FAQ jemlit.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Jemlit: provably fair jemlit.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Jemlit: Charizard Pokemon Cards box page jemlit.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- PackDraw: terms of service, last updated 8 August 2026 packdraw.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- PackDraw: fairness packdraw.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- PackDraw: homepage packdraw.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- PackDraw: Pokemon 30th Rip pack page packdraw.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Pullbox: how it works, with its fairness section pullbox.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Pullbox: FAQ pullbox.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Pullbox: terms of use, hosted by Termly app.termly.io · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- Pullbox: 5%: Dual Lands! box page pullbox.gg · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- RillaBox: terms of service rillabox.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- RillaBox: provable fairness for boxes, updated 12 November 2025 rillabox.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- RillaBox: help rillabox.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
- RillaBox: Pokémon Mega Evolution box page rillabox.com · read between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026
Every figure was read on public pages between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money yet. Sums are our arithmetic on each site's published table, not a figure the site states. No box was opened.