Sports chase cards, at the app's own odds
79 slabs that Arena Club names as the top pulls of 8 sports packs, each with its stated hit rate. Read on 7 October 2026; nothing was opened.
By Alexander Korsager · Checked 7 October 2026 · We earn nothing from any app on this site
Lionel Messi2022 Panini Instant FIFA World Cup Qatar · Base · #118Arena Club · Silver Soccer pack, $50
- Arena Club's value
- Not publishedno value stated per card
- Stated chance
- 0.26%1 in 385 packs
- Average bill for one
- $19,231385 packs at $50
The 79 sports chase cards read
Sort by stated chance or by pack price. Tap a card for what that chance costs.
- App's value
- Not publishednone per card
- Stated chance
- 0.26%1 in 385 packs
- Bill for one
- $19,231385 packs on average
- Adds to a pack
- Not knownneeds a value
Arena Club publishes a chance for each slab and no value, so none is shown. Other games: Pokémon chase cards and One Piece chase cards.
What the odds cost
One Grail slab from each pack read, the packs it takes on average to hit it at the stated rate, and the bill for them at the pack's price.
| Card and pack | Chance | Bill for one |
|---|---|---|
 Cristiano Ronaldo2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · Black / 1 · #95 · 1/1Arena Club · Legendary Soccer pack, $2,5000.03% · 1 in 3,333 packs | 0.03%1 in 3,333 | $8.33Mvalue not published |
| Patrick Mahomes II2017 Panini National Treasures · Laundry Tag / 5 · #RCS-PM · 5/5Arena Club · Legendary Football pack, $2,5000.04% · 1 in 2,500 packs | 0.04%1 in 2,500 | $6.25Mvalue not published |
| Luka Doncic2018-19 Panini Crown Royale · Base · #23Arena Club · Legendary Basketball pack, $2,5000.04% · 1 in 2,500 packs | 0.04%1 in 2,500 | $6.25Mvalue not published |
| Aaron Judge2017 Topps Chrome Update Series · Red Refractor / 25 · #HMT40 · 8/25Arena Club · Legendary Baseball pack, $2,5000.04% · 1 in 2,500 packs | 0.04%1 in 2,500 | $6.25Mvalue not published |
| Trevor Lawrence2021 Panini Donruss Optic · Base · #DT-33Arena Club · Silver Football pack, $500.01% · 1 in 10,000 packs | 0.01%1 in 10,000 | $500,000value not published |
| Kobe Bryant1999-00 Topps Gallery · Base · #GH3Arena Club · Silver Basketball pack, $500.01% · 1 in 10,000 packs | 0.01%1 in 10,000 | $500,000value not published |
| Shohei Ohtani2013 BBM · Base · #CL07Arena Club · Silver Baseball pack, $500.01% · 1 in 10,000 packs | 0.01%1 in 10,000 | $500,000value not published |
| Jude Bellingham2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · Base · #4Arena Club · Silver Soccer pack, $500.02% · 1 in 5,000 packs | 0.02%1 in 5,000 | $250,000value not published |
The bill is an average: it assumes the stated chance holds, and lists move as cards are pulled. A pack's three Grail slabs share one rate, rounded to 0.01%. To see how a chase plays out, use the chase odds calculator.
How each app states it
What was read at each app, what its value is a value of and what its chance is a chance of.
- Read
- Eight pack pages: Silver and Legendary, in each of four sports. Each names three Grail and eight Chase slabs; 9 Chase names had not loaded when read and are missing. The Lineup tier under them, about fifty slabs a pack, is not listed here.
- Value
- Not published for a card. An offer is shown only after a reveal
- Chance
- “Hit rate per card”: the chance of that one slab from one pack, rounded to the nearest 0.01%
- Note
- The checklist changes as slabs are pulled. A pulled slab is replaced with one of similar value, on the help centre's account.
“The checklist updates in real time as users pull cards.”
Arena Club help centre, read on 7 October 2026. Its hit rates are a dated read, not a standing offer.
| Not in the gallery | Why |
|---|---|
| BOXED.GG | Its drop tables are in gems, with no exact dollar price for a gem |
Questions people ask
What is a chase card?
The card a pack is sold on: the rare, valuable one at the top of its list. Apps name the tier differently. Arena Club files its top slabs under Grail and Chase, and MNSTR marks one card on each pack as its chase. More terms are in the glossary.
Where do the chances come from?
From each app's own public page, read on 7 October 2026. They are the app's stated figures, not something we measured: nothing was bought or opened. Every app's page is in the sources below.
How is the bill for one card worked out?
One divided by the stated chance gives the packs that hold one copy on average. Times the pack's price, that is the bill. It is an average at the chance stated on the day: a buyer can hit sooner, or never, and lists change as cards are pulled. The chase odds calculator shows the spread.
Why do these cards have no value?
Arena Club states a hit rate for every slab on a pack's checklist and no dollar value beside it. An offer for the slab is shown only after the reveal. We do not fill the gap with a price of our own: a graded card's price depends on its grade and parallel.
Which apps are missing?
Many apps publish odds for value bands, not for named cards, so they have nothing to list here. BOXED.GG publishes a figure per card that is not used here; the table above says why.
Sources10
- Arena Club: Silver Football slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Legendary Football slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Silver Basketball slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Legendary Basketball slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Silver Baseball slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Legendary Baseball slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Silver Soccer slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- Arena Club: Legendary Soccer slab pack, checklist arenaclub.com
- BOXED.GG: what it lists boxed.gg
- Arena Club help centre: how a checklist changes arenaclubsupport.zendesk.com
Every figure was read on public pages between 6 October 2026 and 7 October 2026. Nothing here has been tested with money yet. Values and chances are each app's own figures. The bill for one card and what a card adds to a pack are our sums from them. See also Sports card apps.